Why does this blog exist?

A good question.  One that few have asked.  Mainly because few have ever stumbled upon this hole in cyberspace.  I enjoy writing, and read ceaselessly about the financial markets.  I am amused, entertained and energized by them.   So I thought I’d throw some of my admittedly useless thoughts about said markets into the ether.  Many of the charts I follow are macro-economic plays, though I am always on the lookout for interesting small/micro caps.  I try to vary the securities I post about, if only to promote my delusion that someone other than me or my family reads it.  Actually, I’m pretty sure no one in my family does.

Why is it called “Playing the Ponzi”?  I view the entire monetary and financial system as something of a Ponzi scheme. Starting with currency that is created as debt, and running straight though a global economic model that is based on infinite growth in a finite world. This won’t end well. I’d go a step further and suggest that our materialistic value and belief system is another way in which we’re building castles on sand… but I digress.  I view our financial markets as a casino, but frankly, I like gambling.  I prefer technical analysis to fundamental analysis because I find the “behavioral” side of investing more interesting than longer term projections based on financial/numerical analysis. Pictures make more sense to me than numbers.  I’m dumb like that.

As for an investing “philosophy”, I believe in small/micro-caps. I believe the market rewards growth above all else, and growth is easiest and most explosive when a company is young and small. As a company matures, its growth inevitably slows. Microcap stocks tend to be extremely volatile so I believe strongly in taking profits on the way up (or exiting quickly if the entry point proves poor). I attempt to buy stocks that are pulling back in the midst of a longer term uptrend. I hold anywhere from hours to years, but usually in the 3-6 month range.

I committed every investing cardinal sin between first entering the markets in 1999 and 2002, losing 90% of my seed money. Since then, I’ve found an approach that works reasonably well for me. My average return has been about 25% annually since 2003.

  1. Michael
    July 16, 2011 at 4:07 pm

    I’ll try to read your blog. Keep up the good work.

  2. July 18, 2011 at 12:58 am

    Thanks, Michael! I’m honored and humbled. I will endeavor fiercely to not suck as a blogger.

  3. BK
    November 16, 2011 at 4:57 pm

    I was researching Jaguar Mining – after the fact – trying to see who out in the Internet world foresaw it as a good investment. Congrats and I hope you were rewarded for your diligence and risk.
    Who do you read for ideas in the Mining space or what site do you recommend out side of your Blogroll?

    • November 17, 2011 at 1:51 pm

      BK, thanks for the kind words. There aren’t any specific authors I follow for mining ideas. I find that Seeking Alpha (which I’ve now added to my blogroll – where it should have been all along) is a good site for investing ideas. Maybe you saw my JAG article there and followed it here, but if you didn’t, that’s a site worth checking out. They post so much material from so many different authors that there is no shortage of ideas. The mining industry is so diverse that it’s hard to find and properly do DD on the small caps that offer huge upside. One shortcut can be to follow the public holdings of companies like PNPFF and AABVF that specialize in finding and investing in small cap resource companies. I have written an article on them as investment as well, as they are a way to access natural resource companies without having to do all the individual legwork yourself.

  4. March 7, 2013 at 6:55 am

    I have been reading some of your posts, I must say I find your posts very interesting so keep up the good work!
    We might have some interesting content and information for you to use as your source. We provide macroeconomic data as a consensus forecast.
    Please let me know if you would be interested in receiving a sample. I saw that you had worked with sources similar to ours.
    Have a good day,
    Amber, FocusEconomics.

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