Re-Test and Rejection for S&P?

The S&P (using SPY as my proxy here) has posted a furious rally over the last two weeks.  Friday’s sell-off put a dent in the positive mojo, and could be telling.  The S&P tested and closed below the bottom trendline in the big rising wedge that had formed over the last two years. (The chart below is logarithmic.  A linear chart would have the bottom trendline around 1250 – where SPY bounced two weeks ago).

Most charts have broken out of their downtrends and are re-testing old highs or old upward trendlines that they’d broken under.  Maybe it’s neither up nor down and we’re just stuck in a 1250-1350 range.  Next week will be interesting.


Importantly, this week’s action also leaves the possible Head and Shoulders that I’d mentioned in previous entries in place.  I think I’d rather be short than long at the moment, with pretty tight stops in place should the upside momentum resume.

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