Archive for March 21, 2011
Rally setting up a short opportunity?
March 21, 2011
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The U.S. indexes rallied about 1.5% today. But given the gusto with which they had quickly moved into “oversold” territory, a rebound is hardly surprising. What is perhaps more noteworthy than the price action is the volume. As the S&P has come off its bottom, volume has dried up. There is some price resistance for S&P at 1300. Should the rally power through that, I see the top of a declining channel around 1320. Above that, I’d likely be interested in adding long exposure. For now, I think the entire “bull” case revolves around inflation. And I prefer silver to equities as my “long inflation” play. Here’s the tepid S&P rally, per its proxy SPY, as I see it: